Virginia vs. Villanova prediction, odds, time: 2024 college basketball Nov. 15 picks from proven model

What to know about Virginia vs. Villanova

Two ACC powers clash Wednesday night when Virginia hosts Villanova in the 2024 Gavitt Tipoff Games. Virginia enters the game 2-0 after picking up a pair of impressive home wins. Villanova is also 2-0 with a pair of home wins. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Virginia as a 6-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is set at 131.5. Before making any Villanova vs. Virginia picks or college basketball predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. Now, the model has set its sights on Virginia vs. Villanova. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Villanova vs. Virginia: * Spread: Virginia -6 * Over-under: 131.5 points * Money line: Virginia -245, Villanova +205

Why Virginia can cover

Virginia has had no trouble scoring the basketball through the first two games of the season, averaging 88 points per game. Four players are averaging double figures in scoring, led by Kihei Clark's 17 points per game. Jayden Gardner is averaging 16.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game after transferring from East Carolina. Virginia is also shooting the ball well, hitting 52.2% from the field and 39.5% from three-point range.

Why Villanova can cover

Villanova has been just as impressive offensively, averaging 85 points per game. Eric Dixon is averaging 20.5 points per game, while Caleb Daniels is averaging 18 points per game. Villanova is also shooting the ball well, hitting 48.5% from the field and 37.7% from three-point range. The Wildcats have also been solid on the defensive end, allowing just 58 points per game.

How to make Villanova vs. Virginia picks

The model has simulated Virginia vs. Villanova 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is predicting a close game, with Virginia winning 52% of the simulations. However, the model also says that Villanova has a 30% chance of winning outright. The model also predicts that the total points scored will be under the over-under of 131.5 points. The model predicts that the two teams will combine to score 129 points. Based on the model's predictions, you should take Virginia to cover the spread and the under on the total points scored.